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Best Indicator for Recession & Stock Market Downturn

June 17, 2024
  • Economy
The Daily Gold
By The Daily Gold
The Daily Gold

The steepening in the yield curve from inversion to above 0 is the best indicator of an imminent recession. The decline in the 2-year yield relative to the Fed Funds rate usually precedes the start of rate cuts, which is bearish for the stock market and economy in the context of the recession signal.

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The Daily Gold
The Daily Gold
Interviews, analysis and podcasts from The Daily Gold. Host Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT, MFTA interviews top industry analysts and fund managers. Jordon's main focus is on gold and silver investing and junior stocks.
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