Jordan Roy-Byrne – Balancing The Precious Metals Technicals With The Macroeconomic Fundamentals
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT, MFTA, Editor of The Daily Gold joins me to review the charts of gold, silver, GDX, GDXJ, and SILJ, but also discuss why he is not just relying on technicals alone and encourages investors to consider the macroeconomic factors underpinning the market moves.
Gold prices have remained well bid lately, even despite so much volatility in both the commodities and US equities lately. Jordan outlines some support and resistance levels to watch, but reiterates he’ll be most closely watching the macro developments in the economy like the Fed rate cutting cycle, the steepening of the yield curve, and the health of the economy in various data for underlying trends. We review that gold has made some progress in relation to the S&P 500 and 60/40 portfolio, but that on both ratio charts there is still stiff overhead resistance that must be cleared to really bring more buying and momentum into the entire precious metals sector.
We next review the weaker action in the mining stocks ETFs lately, and in particular the weakness in silver, in alignment with most other base metals the last couple months, in renewed concerns about sliding into a recession. Despite this recent weakness in silver, it has still greatly outperformed copper, and it’s possible most of the downside chart damage has already been inflicted at these levels, as it pulled back from above $32 to the high $26 pricing level. Jordan believes that when gold really breaks out versus US equities, it will drag silver higher.
Wrapping up we get Jordan’s take on if he’d be more heavily weighted to gold stocks over silver stocks, or stocks that have garnered a solid bid on the last few rallies, and he points out that it really must be taken on a case by case situation based on the company fundamentals value drivers at today’s metals prices.
