Wiesemeyer's Perspectives | Inside the shutdown: farm payments, China, and what’s next for ag policy
We break down how the shutdown stalls key USDA payments, why Obamacare funding is the leverage point in Congress, and what a two-phase farmer aid plan might look like. Markets absorbed a bearish stock surprise, China looms over soybean demand, and California greenlights E15 with a slow path to pumps.
• Senate rejects clean funding extension; Obamacare funding becomes leverage
• ECAP 14% paid; ARC/PLC paused; loans and disaster programs on hold
• Roughly half of the U.S. SDA staff furloughed; implementation bottlenecks
• Two-phase aid: White House trade payments first, broader economic aid later
• China purchase timing likely into next year; tariff revenue constraints
• USDA corn stocks surprise; markets show resilience amid thin data
• Possible delay of October crop report; Fed signals rate cut on softer jobs
• California approves E15; infrastructure and labeling push rollout to 2026
• Auto tariff relief chatter highlights wider trade-policy ripple effects
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